Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Ferroviária to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFerroviária to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceFerroviária or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Ferroviária vs Maringá: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Serie C brings Ferroviária against Maringá. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Ferroviária are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Maringá are 1st with 11. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ferroviária, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maringá, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Maringá, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ferroviária, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Oct 2026) it ended Maringá 1–1 Ferroviária. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ferroviária 0 wins, Maringá 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviária 1.6 xG, Maringá 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviária 58%, draw 22%, Maringá 20%.
Lower-risk option: Ferroviária or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Ferroviária to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ferroviária or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviária 1–0 Maringá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferroviária58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @2.90
Maringá20%fair 5.05 · @3.60
2.46Expected goals
1.64Ferroviária xG
0.82Maringá xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.6 – 0.8 Maringá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ferroviária vs Maringá?
Our pick is Ferroviária or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Maringá?
On our numbers Ferroviária have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maringá 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Maringá?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Maringá?
Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–0 Maringá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ferroviária vs Maringá?
Ferroviária vs Maringá (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
