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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oriente Petrolero v Aurora: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Bolivia · Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera
1–1
FT

Aurora

WLLDW
Oriente Petrolero 59%Draw 23%Aurora 18% Expected goals 1.92 – 0.97
82%
Betarazi pick

Oriente Petrolero or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1

Value bet: Oriente Petrolero to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOriente Petrolero to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceOriente Petrolero or draw ✓82% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aurora travel to face Oriente Petrolero on Saturday 31 October in the Primera División, with Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Oriente Petrolero are 4th, among the top four, on 41 points after 25 matches; Aurora are 6th (upper half) with 36.

Current form

Oriente Petrolero, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over The Strongest, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Aurora, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Tomayapo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Oriente Petrolero, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Aurora.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended Aurora 2–2 Oriente Petrolero.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oriente Petrolero 1.9 xG, Aurora 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oriente Petrolero 59%, draw 23%, Aurora 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Oriente Petrolero or draw (82%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Oriente Petrolero to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Oriente Petrolero or draw (82%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oriente Petrolero 1–0 Aurora. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oriente Petrolero59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.30
Aurora18%fair 5.56 · @3.40
2.89Expected goals
1.92Oriente Petrolero xG
0.97Aurora xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Oriente Petrolero 1.9 – 1.0 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOriente Petrolero to win ✗59%1.701.95 ▲
Double chanceOriente Petrolero or draw ✓82%1.221.29 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.70
Draw no betOriente Petrolero (draw no bet)77%1.31–
Asian handicapAurora +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreOriente Petrolero to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultOriente Petrolero ahead at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oriente Petrolero / FT Oriente Petrolero ✗37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.06–

Recent results

Oriente Petrolero – last 6

WWDWWL
26 Octvs The Strongest2–1W
22 Octvs Nacional Potosí3–2W
19 Oct@ Guabirá1–1D
11 Octvs ABB1–0W
8 Octvs Universitario de Vinto2–0W
4 Oct@ Guabirá1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Aurora – last 6

WLLDWD
25 Octvs Real Tomayapo1–0W
21 Oct@ Independiente Petrolero0–4L
17 Oct@ Real Oruro0–1L
11 Octvs Nacional Potosí2–2D
7 Octvs ABB2–0W
3 Oct@ Real Potosí1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jul 2026Aurora v Oriente Petrolero2–2
Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolívar251933+3760
2Always Ready251762+4257
3The Strongest251465+1748
4Oriente Petrolero251258+1241
5Real Potosí2510105+1440
6Aurora258125+436
7Nacional Potosí259610+433
8Guabirá259610-1033
9Blooming257108+631
10Real Oruro259412-1731
11Independiente Petrolero258611-1030
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo258314-2227
13Real Tomayapo256514-2323
14Universitario de Vinto256415-1722
15Gualberto Villarroel SJ254813-1720
16ABB256217-2020

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?

Our pick is Oriente Petrolero or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?

On our numbers Oriente Petrolero have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aurora 18%.

How many goals will there be in Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?

Our predicted score is Oriente Petrolero 1–0 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?

Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.