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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Independiente Petrolero v Real Tomayapo: numbers & prediction

Independiente Petrolero 63%Draw 22%Real Tomayapo 15% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.88
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente Petrolero to win ✗63% · @1.65
Double chanceIndependiente Petrolero or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Independiente Petrolero v Real Tomayapo in the Primera División. In the table, Independiente Petrolero are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 25 matches; Real Tomayapo are 13th (lower half) with 23.

Current form

Independiente Petrolero, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Aurora, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Real Tomayapo, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Blooming, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Independiente Petrolero, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Real Tomayapo.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Sep 2026) it ended Independiente Petrolero 5–1 Real Tomayapo. The last 3 head-to-heads: Independiente Petrolero 1 win, Real Tomayapo 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Petrolero 2.0 xG, Real Tomayapo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Petrolero 63%, draw 22%, Real Tomayapo 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Independiente Petrolero or draw (85%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Petrolero 2–0 Real Tomayapo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independiente Petrolero63%fair 1.58 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.90
Real Tomayapo15%fair 6.79 · @4.50
2.89Expected goals
2.02Independiente Petrolero xG
0.88Real Tomayapo xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Independiente Petrolero 2.0 – 0.9 Real Tomayapo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente Petrolero to win ✗63%1.581.65
Double chanceIndependiente Petrolero or draw ✗85%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.62
Draw no betIndependiente Petrolero (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapIndependiente Petrolero -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.20
First team to scoreIndependiente Petrolero to score first ✗66%1.52–
Half-time resultIndependiente Petrolero ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente Petrolero / FT Independiente Petrolero ✗41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Independiente Petrolero – last 6

LDWWDL
4 Nov@ Aurora2–3L
30 Oct@ Real Potosí1–1D
25 Octvs ABB4–2W
21 Octvs Aurora4–0W
18 Oct@ Blooming0–0D
12 Oct@ Always Ready0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Tomayapo – last 6

LLWDLL
2 Novvs Blooming1–2L
25 Oct@ Aurora0–1L
17 Octvs Gualberto Villarroel SJ1–0W
9 Oct@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo0–0D
6 Oct@ Real Oruro0–4L
3 Oct@ Always Ready0–4L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Sep 2026Independiente Petrolero v Real Tomayapo5–1
1 Sep 2026Real Tomayapo v Independiente Petrolero3–0
13 Jul 2026Real Tomayapo v Independiente Petrolero2–1
Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolívar251933+3760
2Always Ready251762+4257
3The Strongest251465+1748
4Oriente Petrolero251258+1241
5Real Potosí2510105+1440
6Aurora258125+436
7Nacional Potosí259610+433
8Guabirá259610-1033
9Blooming257108+631
10Real Oruro259412-1731
11Independiente Petrolero258611-1030
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo258314-2227
13Real Tomayapo256514-2323
14Universitario de Vinto256415-1722
15Gualberto Villarroel SJ254813-1720
16ABB256217-2020

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

On our numbers Independiente Petrolero have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Tomayapo 15%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

Our predicted score is Independiente Petrolero 2–0 Real Tomayapo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.