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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bolívar v The Strongest: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Bolivia · Estadio Hernando Siles
1–0
FT
Bolívar 69%Draw 19%The Strongest 13% Expected goals 2.49 – 1.02
87%
Betarazi pick

Bolívar or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBolívar to win ✓69% · @1.53
Double chanceBolívar or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Bolívar vs The Strongest: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bolívar welcome The Strongest to Estadio Hernando Siles for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 8 November (22:15 WAT). In the table, Bolívar are 1st, leading the league, on 60 points after 25 matches; The Strongest are 3rd (among the top four) with 48. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bolívar, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Potosí, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

The Strongest, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Always Ready, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bolívar, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for The Strongest.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Sep 2026) it ended The Strongest 1–1 Bolívar. The last 3 head-to-heads: Bolívar 1 win, The Strongest 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bolívar 2.5 xG, The Strongest 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bolívar 69%, draw 19%, The Strongest 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bolívar or draw (87%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bolívar or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolívar 2–1 The Strongest. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bolívar69%fair 1.46 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.75
The Strongest13%fair 7.90 · @4.75
3.51Expected goals
2.49Bolívar xG
1.02The Strongest xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–18%
1–07%

From our goals model: Bolívar 2.5 – 1.0 The Strongest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBolívar to win ✓69%1.461.53
Double chanceBolívar or draw ✓87%1.151.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗67%1.501.40
Draw no betBolívar (draw no bet) ✓84%1.18–
Asian handicapBolívar -1 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.161.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70%1.431.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.931.83
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.421.36
First team to scoreBolívar to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultBolívar ahead at half-time ✓52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bolívar / FT Bolívar ✓47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.58–

Recent results

Bolívar – last 6

WWWLWW
6 Novvs Real Potosí1–0W
1 Nov@ Guabirá2–1W
27 Octvs Universitario de Vinto2–1W
21 Oct@ Real Potosí1–3L
18 Oct@ Nacional Potosí1–0W
12 Octvs Blooming1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

The Strongest – last 6

LWLDWL
5 Novvs Always Ready1–4L
1 Novvs Gualberto Villarroel SJ4–2W
26 Oct@ Oriente Petrolero1–2L
23 Oct@ Always Ready1–1D
18 Octvs Always Ready2–1W
11 Oct@ Real Potosí0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Sep 2026The Strongest v Bolívar1–1
30 Aug 2026Bolívar v The Strongest4–2
12 Jul 2026The Strongest v Bolívar1–1
Bolívar vs The Strongest head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolívar251933+3760
2Always Ready251762+4257
3The Strongest251465+1748
4Oriente Petrolero251258+1241
5Real Potosí2510105+1440
6Aurora258125+436
7Nacional Potosí259610+433
8Guabirá259610-1033
9Blooming257108+631
10Real Oruro259412-1731
11Independiente Petrolero258611-1030
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo258314-2227
13Real Tomayapo256514-2323
14Universitario de Vinto256415-1722
15Gualberto Villarroel SJ254813-1720
16ABB256217-2020

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bolívar vs The Strongest?

Our pick is Bolívar or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Bolívar vs The Strongest?

On our numbers Bolívar have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and The Strongest 13%.

How many goals will there be in Bolívar vs The Strongest?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bolívar vs The Strongest?

Our predicted score is Bolívar 2–1 The Strongest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Bolívar vs The Strongest?

Bolívar vs The Strongest (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernando Siles.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.