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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aurora v Universitario de Vinto: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Bolivia · Felix Capriles

Aurora

WDWLL
1–1
FT
Aurora 57%Draw 22%Universitario de Vinto 21% Expected goals 1.96 – 1.11
79%
Betarazi pick

Aurora or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAurora to win ✗57% · @1.73
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Tuesday 10 November: Aurora v Universitario de Vinto in the Primera División, played at Felix Capriles. In the table, Aurora are 6th, upper half, on 36 points after 25 matches; Universitario de Vinto are 14th (in the drop zone) with 22. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Aurora, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Independiente Petrolero, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Universitario de Vinto, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Always Ready, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aurora, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Universitario de Vinto.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Sep 2026) it ended Aurora 4–2 Universitario de Vinto. The last 3 head-to-heads: Aurora 2 wins, Universitario de Vinto 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aurora 2.0 xG, Universitario de Vinto 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aurora 57%, draw 22%, Universitario de Vinto 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Aurora or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Aurora or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aurora 1–1 Universitario de Vinto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aurora57%fair 1.75 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.70
Universitario de Vinto21%fair 4.71 · @4.00
3.06Expected goals
1.96Aurora xG
1.11Universitario de Vinto xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Aurora 2.0 – 1.1 Universitario de Vinto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAurora to win ✗57%1.751.73
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.53
Draw no betAurora (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapUniversitario de Vinto +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.681.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.611.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
First team to scoreAurora to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultAurora ahead at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aurora / FT Aurora ✗36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Aurora – last 6

WDWLLD
4 Novvs Independiente Petrolero3–2W
31 Oct@ Oriente Petrolero1–1D
25 Octvs Real Tomayapo1–0W
21 Oct@ Independiente Petrolero0–4L
17 Oct@ Real Oruro0–1L
11 Octvs Nacional Potosí2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Universitario de Vinto – last 6

LLWLLL
2 Novvs Always Ready1–3L
27 Oct@ Bolívar1–2L
17 Octvs San Antonio Bulo Bulo2–1W
10 Octvs Real Oruro1–3L
8 Oct@ Oriente Petrolero0–2L
4 Oct@ The Strongest2–5L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Sep 2026Aurora v Universitario de Vinto4–2
2 Sep 2026Universitario de Vinto v Aurora1–1
2 Jun 2026Universitario de Vinto v Aurora1–2
Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolívar251933+3760
2Always Ready251762+4257
3The Strongest251465+1748
4Oriente Petrolero251258+1241
5Real Potosí2510105+1440
6Aurora258125+436
7Nacional Potosí259610+433
8Guabirá259610-1033
9Blooming257108+631
10Real Oruro259412-1731
11Independiente Petrolero258611-1030
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo258314-2227
13Real Tomayapo256514-2323
14Universitario de Vinto256415-1722
15Gualberto Villarroel SJ254813-1720
16ABB256217-2020

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?

Our pick is Aurora or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?

On our numbers Aurora have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Universitario de Vinto 21%.

How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?

Our predicted score is Aurora 1–1 Universitario de Vinto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?

Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Felix Capriles.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.