Derry City 46%Draw 21%Waterford 33%Expected goals 1.65 – 1.36
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultDerry City to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Derry City vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the FAI Cup brings Derry City against Waterford at Aviva Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Derry City, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sligo Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Waterford, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Shelbourne, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Sep 2026) it ended Waterford 2–2 Derry City. The last 3 head-to-heads: Derry City 1 win, Waterford 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 5.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.6 xG, Waterford 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 46%, draw 21%, Waterford 33%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City46%fair 2.19 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
Waterford33%fair 3.03 · @3.20
3.01Expected goals
1.65Derry City xG
1.36Waterford xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.6 – 1.4 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Waterford?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Derry City vs Waterford?
On our numbers Derry City have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waterford 33%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Waterford?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Waterford?
Derry City vs Waterford (FAI Cup) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Aviva Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
