Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultErbil to win ✓65% · @1.60
Double chanceErbil or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Erbil vs Kazma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 4 November the AGCFF Gulf Champions League brings Erbil against Kazma at Franso Hariri Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Erbil, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ghaz Al Shamal, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Kazma, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ajman, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kazma, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Erbil.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erbil 2.5 xG, Kazma 1.1 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erbil 65%, draw 22%, Kazma 12%.
Lower-risk option: Erbil or draw (88%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Erbil or draw (88%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.14, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erbil 2–1 Kazma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erbil65%fair 1.53 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.60
Kazma12%fair 8.09 · @4.75
3.65Expected goals
2.53Erbil xG
1.12Kazma xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Erbil 2.5 – 1.1 Kazma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erbil to win✓
65%
1.53
1.60
Double chance
Erbil or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.83
Draw no bet
Erbil (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Erbil -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.10
First team to score
Erbil to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Erbil ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erbil / FT Erbil✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Erbil – last 6
DLLLDW
31 Oct
vs Ghaz Al Shamal
1–1
D
22 Oct
@ Zakho
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Mosul
0–1
L
14 Oct
@ Ajman
4–5
L
8 Oct
@ Naft Maysan
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Karbala
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kazma – last 6
LWWLDW
27 Oct
vs Ajman
1–2
L
23 Oct
vs Al Sulaibikhat
2–1
W
19 Oct
@ Al Jahra
1–0
W
14 Oct
@ Al-Ettifaq
0–2
L
9 Oct
vs Al Arabi
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Al Shabab
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erbil and Kazma.
Our pick is Erbil or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Erbil vs Kazma?
On our numbers Erbil have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kazma 12%.
How many goals will there be in Erbil vs Kazma?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erbil vs Kazma?
Our predicted score is Erbil 2–1 Kazma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Erbil vs Kazma?
Erbil vs Kazma (AGCFF Gulf Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Franso Hariri Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Nasr4
Qatar SC1
Al-Ettifaq2
Ajman0