Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Drita to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDrita to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceDrita or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 13.03
Llapi vs Drita: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Llapi welcome Drita for a Superliga fixture on Saturday 17 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, Llapi are 9th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Drita are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Llapi, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Feronikeli, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Drita, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ballkani, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Drita 5–3 Llapi. The last 3 head-to-heads: Llapi 0 wins, Drita 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Llapi 0.8 xG, Drita 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Llapi 14%, draw 23%, Drita 62%.
Lower-risk option: Drita or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Drita to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Drita or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llapi 0–1 Drita. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Llapi14%fair 6.99 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.30
Drita62%fair 1.60 · @1.91
2.69Expected goals
0.80Llapi xG
1.89Drita xG
46%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Llapi 0.8 – 1.9 Drita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Drita or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Llapi vs Drita?
On our numbers Llapi have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Drita 62%.
How many goals will there be in Llapi vs Drita?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llapi vs Drita?
Our predicted score is Llapi 0–1 Drita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Llapi vs Drita?
Llapi vs Drita (Superliga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
