Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.11 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✗68% · @1.34
Double chanceSpartak Kostroma or draw ✗84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.13
Spartak Kostroma vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Tuesday 3 November: Spartak Kostroma v Volna Nizhegorodskaya in the Cup, played at Tekstilshchik Stadium.
Current form
Spartak Kostroma, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Veles, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Volna Nizhegorodskaya, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with SKA Khabarovsk II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Kostroma 1.7 xG, Volna Nizhegorodskaya 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Kostroma 68%, draw 17%, Volna Nizhegorodskaya 16%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.68.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.11 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Kostroma 1–0 Volna Nizhegorodskaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Kostroma68%fair 1.48 · @1.34
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @5.05
Volna Nizhegorodskaya16%fair 6.29 · @7.70
2.37Expected goals
1.75Spartak Kostroma xG
0.63Volna Nizhegorodskaya xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.7 – 0.6 Volna Nizhegorodskaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Kostroma to win✗
68%
1.48
1.34
Double chance
Spartak Kostroma or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.68
Draw no bet
Spartak Kostroma (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Kostroma -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
2.11 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.13
First team to score
Spartak Kostroma to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Spartak Kostroma ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.13
–
Recent results
Spartak Kostroma – last 6
DLWWLL
30 Oct
@ Veles
1–1
D
26 Oct
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Leningradets
2–0
W
13 Oct
vs Chelyabinsk
1–0
W
9 Oct
@ Arsenal Tula
2–3
L
26 Sep
vs Ural
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Volna Nizhegorodskaya – last 6
DWDDDL
31 Oct
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
3–3
D
24 Oct
@ Shumbrat
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs FK Spartak Tambov
0–0
D
14 Oct
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Avangard Kursk
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Saturn Ramenskoye
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Kostroma and Volna Nizhegorodskaya.
What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya?
On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Volna Nizhegorodskaya 16%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya?
Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 1–0 Volna Nizhegorodskaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Spartak Kostroma vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya?
Spartak Kostroma vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tekstilshchik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
