Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVolga Ulyanovsk to win ✓66% · @1.47
Double chanceVolga Ulyanovsk or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 5 November the Cup brings Volga Ulyanovsk against Chertanovo Moscow at Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk). Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Volga Ulyanovsk, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tekstilshchik, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Chertanovo Moscow, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Torpedo Vladimir, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Volga Ulyanovsk 1.9 xG, Chertanovo Moscow 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Volga Ulyanovsk 66%, draw 21%, Chertanovo Moscow 13%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–0 Chertanovo Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Volga Ulyanovsk66%fair 1.52 · @1.47
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.55
Chertanovo Moscow13%fair 7.79 · @5.70
2.67Expected goals
1.94Volga Ulyanovsk xG
0.73Chertanovo Moscow xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.9 – 0.7 Chertanovo Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volga Ulyanovsk to win✓
66%
1.52
1.47
Double chance
Volga Ulyanovsk or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Volga Ulyanovsk (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Volga Ulyanovsk -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.87
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.06
First team to score
Volga Ulyanovsk to score first
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Volga Ulyanovsk ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
DWWDDW
31 Oct
vs Tekstilshchik
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Veles
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs Murom
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Rotor Volgograd
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Veles
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chertanovo Moscow – last 6
DWWWLW
1 Nov
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Tekstilshchik
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Baltika II
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Yenisey II
1–2
L
21 Sep
vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny
4–2
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volga Ulyanovsk and Chertanovo Moscow.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chertanovo Moscow 13%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–0 Chertanovo Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
