Value bet: Atenas to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFenix to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Atenas vs Fenix: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Segunda División brings Atenas against Fenix. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Atenas are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 25 matches; Fenix are 11th (lower half) with 31. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atenas, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Rentistas, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Fenix, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paysandu, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atenas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Fenix.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Fenix 1–0 Atenas. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atenas 0 wins, Fenix 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atenas 1.1 xG, Fenix 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atenas 31%, draw 24%, Fenix 45%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Atenas to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atenas 1–1 Fenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atenas31%fair 3.22 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90
Fenix45%fair 2.25 · @2.05
2.41Expected goals
1.07Atenas xG
1.34Fenix xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.1 – 1.3 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Atenas vs Fenix?
On our numbers Atenas have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fenix 45%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Fenix?
Atenas vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
