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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alvarado v Sportivo Las Parejas: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina
1–2
FT
Alvarado 63%Draw 23%Sportivo Las Parejas 13% Expected goals 1.42 – 0.45
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlvarado to win ✗63% · @1.53
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✗87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.54

Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 1 November the Torneo Federal A brings Alvarado against Sportivo Las Parejas. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Alvarado are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Sportivo Las Parejas are 15th (upper half) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Alvarado, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sportivo Las Parejas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sportivo Las Parejas, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alvarado, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sportivo Las Parejas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Alvarado.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Oct 2026) it ended Sportivo Las Parejas 0–1 Alvarado.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alvarado 1.4 xG, Sportivo Las Parejas 0.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alvarado 63%, draw 23%, Sportivo Las Parejas 13%.
  • GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alvarado 1–0 Sportivo Las Parejas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alvarado63%fair 1.58 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.25
Sportivo Las Parejas13%fair 7.49 · @6.50
1.86Expected goals
1.42Alvarado xG
0.45Sportivo Las Parejas xG
42%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%
2–016%
0–016%
1–110%
3–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Alvarado 1.4 – 0.4 Sportivo Las Parejas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlvarado to win ✗63%1.581.53
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✗87%1.151.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗58%1.711.44
Draw no betAlvarado (draw no bet) ✗83%1.21–
Asian handicapAlvarado -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.691.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.491.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.191.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.081.05
First team to scoreAlvarado to score first ✗64%1.56–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alvarado / FT Alvarado ✗37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22%4.54–

Recent results

Alvarado – last 6

WDLWDD
25 Oct@ Sportivo Las Parejas1–0W
18 Octvs Cipolletti0–0D
11 Oct@ Cipolletti0–1L
4 Octvs Defensores de Belgrano VR2–0W
27 Sep@ Defensores de Belgrano VR2–2D
20 Sepvs Olimpo Bahia Blanca1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sportivo Las Parejas – last 6

LWDWWW
25 Octvs Alvarado0–1L
18 Oct@ Defensores de Belgrano VR1–0W
11 Octvs Defensores de Belgrano VR1–1D
20 Sepvs Gimnasia Concepción1–0W
13 Sep@ Tucuman Central4–0W
30 Augvs Sarmiento Resistencia3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Oct 2026Sportivo Las Parejas v Alvarado0–1
Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

On our numbers Alvarado have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sportivo Las Parejas 13%.

How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

Our predicted score is Alvarado 1–0 Sportivo Las Parejas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.