Alvarado 63%Draw 23%Sportivo Las Parejas 13%Expected goals 1.42 – 0.45
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlvarado to win ✗63% · @1.53
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✗87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.54
Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 November the Torneo Federal A brings Alvarado against Sportivo Las Parejas. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Alvarado are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Sportivo Las Parejas are 15th (upper half) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alvarado, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sportivo Las Parejas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sportivo Las Parejas, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alvarado, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sportivo Las Parejas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Alvarado.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Oct 2026) it ended Sportivo Las Parejas 0–1 Alvarado.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alvarado 1.4 xG, Sportivo Las Parejas 0.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alvarado 63%, draw 23%, Sportivo Las Parejas 13%.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alvarado 1–0 Sportivo Las Parejas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alvarado63%fair 1.58 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.25
Sportivo Las Parejas13%fair 7.49 · @6.50
1.86Expected goals
1.42Alvarado xG
0.45Sportivo Las Parejas xG
42%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
2–016%
0–016%
1–110%
3–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alvarado 1.4 – 0.4 Sportivo Las Parejas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas?
On our numbers Alvarado have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sportivo Las Parejas 13%.
How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas?
Our predicted score is Alvarado 1–0 Sportivo Las Parejas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas?
Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.