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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Liverpool Montevideo v Juventud: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Belvedere
2–0
FT
Liverpool Montevideo 44%Draw 23%Juventud 32% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.01
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14

Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Liverpool Montevideo welcome Juventud to Estadio Belvedere for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Tuesday 3 November (00:00 WAT). In the table, Liverpool Montevideo are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 13 matches; Juventud are 8th (upper half) with 18. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Club Nacional, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Juventud, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Nacional Florida, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Liverpool Montevideo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Juventud.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool Montevideo 1.3 xG, Juventud 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool Montevideo 44%, draw 23%, Juventud 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Juventud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Liverpool Montevideo44%fair 2.25 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Juventud32%fair 3.08 · @3.25
2.26Expected goals
1.25Liverpool Montevideo xG
1.01Juventud xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.3 – 1.0 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓44%2.252.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.73
Draw no betLiverpool Montevideo (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapJuventud +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreLiverpool Montevideo to score first ✓50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo ✓24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.14–

Recent results

Liverpool Montevideo – last 6

WWWDWW
25 Oct@ Club Nacional1–0W
21 Octvs Cerro Largo1–0W
18 Octvs Penarol1–0W
10 Oct@ Deportivo Maldonado1–1D
3 Octvs Progreso3–2W
27 Sep@ Central Espanol2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Juventud – last 6

WDLWWD
28 Oct@ Nacional Florida2–0W
24 Octvs Penarol0–0D
17 Oct@ Progreso0–2L
11 Octvs Racing Montevideo2–0W
8 Oct@ Plaza Colonia1–0W
4 Oct@ Boston River0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Liverpool Montevideo and Juventud.

Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Juventud 32%.

How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.