Value bet: Carabobo FC to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCarabobo FC to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Monday 9 November: Deportivo La Guaira v Carabobo FC in the Primera División, played at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV. In the table, Deportivo La Guaira are 2nd, among the top four, on 6 points after 5 matches; Carabobo FC are 1st (leading the league) with 11.
Current form
Deportivo La Guaira, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Portuguesa FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Carabobo FC, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Metropolitanos FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Carabobo FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Deportivo La Guaira.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Oct 2026) it ended Carabobo FC 3–1 Deportivo La Guaira. The last 3 head-to-heads: Deportivo La Guaira 0 wins, Carabobo FC 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo La Guaira 1.1 xG, Carabobo FC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo La Guaira 33%, draw 23%, Carabobo FC 44%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Carabobo FC to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Carabobo FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo La Guaira33%fair 3.06 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Carabobo FC44%fair 2.26 · @2.50
2.50Expected goals
1.13Deportivo La Guaira xG
1.37Carabobo FC xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.1 – 1.4 Carabobo FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Carabobo FC 44%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Carabobo FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
