Ulaanbaatar vs Deren: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ulaanbaatar welcome Deren for a Premier League fixture on Thursday 29 October (09:00 WAT). In the table, Ulaanbaatar are 1st on 54 points after 23 matches; Deren are 3rd with 45.
Current form
Ulaanbaatar, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Central Stallions, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 4.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Deren, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hunters, at home. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Ulaanbaatar, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Deren.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Jul 2026) it ended Ulaanbaatar 2–3 Deren. The last 3 head-to-heads: Ulaanbaatar 2 wins, Deren 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ulaanbaatar 2.7 xG, Deren 1.8 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 75% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ulaanbaatar 57%, draw 21%, Deren 23%.
GG/NG: GG (75%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulaanbaatar 2–1 Deren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ulaanbaatar57%fair 1.76 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @4.75
Deren23%fair 4.43 · @2.90
4.50Expected goals
2.73Ulaanbaatar xG
1.77Deren xG
75%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–17%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
1–15%
1–25%
From our goals model: Ulaanbaatar 2.7 – 1.8 Deren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ulaanbaatar vs Deren?
On our numbers Ulaanbaatar have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deren 23%.
How many goals will there be in Ulaanbaatar vs Deren?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulaanbaatar vs Deren?
Our predicted score is Ulaanbaatar 2–1 Deren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Ulaanbaatar vs Deren?
Ulaanbaatar vs Deren (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
