Deren vs Ulaanbaatar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ulaanbaatar travel to face Deren on Tuesday 10 November in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT. In the table, Deren are 3rd on 45 points after 23 matches; Ulaanbaatar are 1st with 54.
Current form
Deren, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hunters, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Ulaanbaatar, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Central Stallions, at home. 4.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ulaanbaatar, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Deren.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Oct 2026) it ended Ulaanbaatar 1–0 Deren. The last 4 head-to-heads: Deren 1 win, Ulaanbaatar 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deren 1.6 xG, Ulaanbaatar 2.9 xG – a total near 4.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 83% and GG at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deren 23%, draw 11%, Ulaanbaatar 66%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.27.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deren 1–2 Ulaanbaatar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deren23%fair 4.40 · @4.00
Draw11%fair 8.98 · @6.50
Ulaanbaatar66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
4.52Expected goals
1.64Deren xG
2.88Ulaanbaatar xG
71%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
1–45%
From our goals model: Deren 1.6 – 2.9 Ulaanbaatar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?
On our numbers Deren have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Ulaanbaatar 66%.
How many goals will there be in Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?
Our predicted score is Deren 1–2 Ulaanbaatar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?
Deren vs Ulaanbaatar (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
