Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAFAD to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.09
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.97
Stella vs AFAD: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Thursday 5 November: Stella v AFAD in the Ligue 1. In the table, Stella are 11th, lower half, on 6 points after 5 matches; AFAD are 9th (lower half) with 6. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stella, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with ASEC Mimosas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
AFAD, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Yamoussoukro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stella, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for AFAD.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stella 1.0 xG, AFAD 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stella 35%, draw 25%, AFAD 41%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.09.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.09 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stella 1–1 AFAD. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stella35%fair 2.89 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.81
AFAD41%fair 2.46 · @2.60
2.18Expected goals
1.03Stella xG
1.15AFAD xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Stella 1.0 – 1.2 AFAD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFAD to win✗
41%
2.46
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.09 ▲
Draw no bet
AFAD (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Stella +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.09
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
AFAD to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFAD / FT AFAD✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.97
–
Recent results
Stella – last 6
DLWDDW
4 Oct
@ ASEC Mimosas
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ SOA
1–2
L
23 May
vs Racing d'Abidjan
2–1
W
20 Apr
vs Olympique Sport d'Abobo
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs San-Pédro
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs SOL
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AFAD – last 6
WLDDLD
1 Nov
vs Yamoussoukro
3–0
W
24 Oct
@ CS Sfaxien
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs CS Sfaxien
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs SOA
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Bouaké
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ East End Lions
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stella and AFAD.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Stella vs AFAD?
On our numbers Stella have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AFAD 41%.
How many goals will there be in Stella vs AFAD?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stella vs AFAD?
Our predicted score is Stella 1–1 AFAD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Stella vs AFAD?
Stella vs AFAD (Ligue 1) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
