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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fenix v Cerrito: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Uruguay · Parque Capurro

Fenix

LLDWL
1–1
FT

Cerrito

DLWDW
Fenix 46%Draw 23%Cerrito 31% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.09
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultFenix to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31

Fenix vs Cerrito: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 31 October the Segunda División brings Fenix against Cerrito at Parque Capurro. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Fenix are 11th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Cerrito are 8th (lower half) with 34. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Fenix, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Atenas, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Cerrito, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rentistas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cerrito, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Fenix.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Cerrito 1–1 Fenix.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.4 xG, Cerrito 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 46%, draw 23%, Cerrito 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–1 Cerrito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fenix46%fair 2.20 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Cerrito31%fair 3.21 · @3.40
2.49Expected goals
1.40Fenix xG
1.09Cerrito xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Fenix 1.4 – 1.1 Cerrito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFenix to win ✗46%2.202.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.741.75
Draw no betFenix (draw no bet)59%1.68–
Asian handicapCerrito +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.83–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreFenix to score first ✗51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fenix / FT Fenix ✗26%3.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.31–

Recent results

Fenix – last 6

LLDWLL
25 Oct@ Atenas0–4L
17 Octvs Paysandu0–1L
11 Oct@ Sportivo Huracan0–0D
4 Octvs Uruguay Montevideo2–0W
26 Sep@ Oriental2–3L
23 Sep@ Boston River2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cerrito – last 6

DLWDWL
25 Octvs Rentistas2–2D
18 Oct@ Miramar0–1L
10 Octvs Tacuarembo2–1W
7 Octvs Wanderers2–2D
4 Oct@ Plaza Colonia3–1W
27 Sepvs La Luz1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Cerrito v Fenix1–1
Fenix vs Cerrito head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fenix vs Cerrito?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Fenix vs Cerrito?

On our numbers Fenix have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cerrito 31%.

How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Cerrito?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Cerrito?

Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Cerrito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Fenix vs Cerrito?

Fenix vs Cerrito (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.