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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ferro Carril v Club Nacional: numbers & prediction

Copa Uruguay · Uruguay · Estadio Parque Artigas
Ferro Carril 11%Draw 18%Club Nacional 71% Expected goals 0.55 – 1.91
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultClub Nacional to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chanceClub Nacional or draw ✓89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.12

Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 5 November the Copa Uruguay brings Ferro Carril against Club Nacional at Estadio Parque Artigas. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.

Current form

Club Nacional, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Danubio, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ferro Carril 0.5 xG, Club Nacional 1.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ferro Carril 11%, draw 18%, Club Nacional 71%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferro Carril 0–1 Club Nacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ferro Carril11%fair 9.21 · @11.00
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @6.00
Club Nacional71%fair 1.40 · @1.18
2.46Expected goals
0.55Ferro Carril xG
1.91Club Nacional xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–216%
0–310%
1–19%
1–29%
0–09%

From our goals model: Ferro Carril 0.5 – 1.9 Club Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultClub Nacional to win ✓71%1.401.18
Double chanceClub Nacional or draw ✓89%1.121.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.921.50
Draw no betClub Nacional (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapClub Nacional -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.12
First team to scoreClub Nacional to score first71%1.41–
Half-time resultClub Nacional ahead at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Club Nacional / FT Club Nacional ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.12–

Recent results

Ferro Carril

No recent results on record.

Club Nacional – last 6

WLWWWW
1 Nov@ Danubio2–1W
25 Octvs Liverpool Montevideo0–1L
20 Octvs Deportivo Maldonado3–2W
16 Octvs Rentistas3–0W
11 Oct@ Central Espanol1–0W
6 Octvs Atletico Torque2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ferro Carril and Club Nacional.

Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?

On our numbers Ferro Carril have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Club Nacional 71%.

How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?

Our predicted score is Ferro Carril 0–1 Club Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?

Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Parque Artigas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.