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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nacional Florida v Juventud: numbers & prediction

Copa Uruguay · Uruguay
0–2
FT
Nacional Florida 16%Draw 17%Juventud 67% Expected goals 0.68 – 1.83
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuventud to win ✓67% · @1.28
Double chanceJuventud or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.05

Nacional Florida vs Juventud: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Juventud travel to face Nacional Florida on Wednesday 28 October in the Copa Uruguay – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Juventud, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Penarol, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nacional Florida 0.7 xG, Juventud 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional Florida 16%, draw 17%, Juventud 67%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional Florida 0–1 Juventud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nacional Florida16%fair 6.34 · @8.50
Draw17%fair 5.96 · @4.75
Juventud67%fair 1.48 · @1.28
2.51Expected goals
0.68Nacional Florida xG
1.83Juventud xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%

From our goals model: Nacional Florida 0.7 – 1.8 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventud to win ✓67%1.481.28
Double chanceJuventud or draw ✓84%1.191.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.921.57
Draw no betJuventud (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapJuventud -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.201.20
First team to scoreJuventud to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultJuventud ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventud / FT Juventud ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8%12.05–

Recent results

Nacional Florida

No recent results on record.

Juventud – last 6

DLWWDD
24 Octvs Penarol0–0D
17 Oct@ Progreso0–2L
11 Octvs Racing Montevideo2–0W
8 Oct@ Plaza Colonia1–0W
4 Oct@ Boston River0–0D
27 Sepvs Cerro0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nacional Florida and Juventud.

Nacional Florida vs Juventud head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nacional Florida vs Juventud?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Nacional Florida vs Juventud?

On our numbers Nacional Florida have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Juventud 67%.

How many goals will there be in Nacional Florida vs Juventud?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nacional Florida vs Juventud?

Our predicted score is Nacional Florida 0–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Nacional Florida vs Juventud?

Nacional Florida vs Juventud (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.