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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ilbirs v Toktogul: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kyrgyzstan

Ilbirs

LDWDD
3–4
FT
Ilbirs 37%Draw 20%Toktogul 43% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.49
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.54 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.54Odds

Picks by market

ResultToktogul to win ✓43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48

Ilbirs vs Toktogul: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Toktogul travel to face Ilbirs on Wednesday 4 November in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Ilbirs are 12th, lower half, on 29 points after 30 matches; Toktogul are 10th (lower half) with 37.

Current form

Ilbirs, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Neftchi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Toktogul, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Dordoi Bishkek, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ilbirs, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Toktogul.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Toktogul 3–2 Ilbirs.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ilbirs 1.4 xG, Toktogul 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ilbirs 37%, draw 20%, Toktogul 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.54.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.54). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilbirs 1–1 Toktogul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ilbirs37%fair 2.68 · @2.28
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.60
Toktogul43%fair 2.34 · @2.45
2.86Expected goals
1.37Ilbirs xG
1.49Toktogul xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Ilbirs 1.4 – 1.5 Toktogul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToktogul to win ✓43%2.342.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.54
Draw no betToktogul (draw no bet) ✓53%1.87–
Asian handicapIlbirs +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.63
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
First team to scoreToktogul to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toktogul / FT Toktogul ✓24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.48–

Recent results

Ilbirs – last 6

LDWDDW
28 Oct@ Neftchi0–3L
23 Octvs Kara-Balta1–1D
17 Sep@ Asiagoal1–0W
11 Sepvs Bishkek City1–1D
19 Aug@ Muras United1–1D
15 Augvs Dordoi Bishkek3–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Toktogul – last 6

LLWLDD
31 Octvs Dordoi Bishkek2–3L
19 Oct@ Neftchi2–3L
15 Octvs Abdish-Ata2–0W
9 Oct@ Asia Talas0–2L
4 Sepvs Talant1–1D
29 Augvs Kara-Balta1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Toktogul v Ilbirs3–2
Ilbirs vs Toktogul head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bars302145+4267
2Ozgon302037+2863
3Alga301884+2962
4Asia Talas301875+2561
5Muras United301686+2556
6Alay301389+547
7Neftchi3013314-342
8Talant3010911+739
9Bishkek City3091011-237
10Toktogul3011415-1237
11Dordoi Bishkek3010614+136
12Ilbirs3061113-2229
13OshMU Aldier307716-2628
14Asiagoal306915-1527
15Abdish-Ata305619-2921
16Kara-Balta302721-5313

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ilbirs vs Toktogul?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.

Who will win Ilbirs vs Toktogul?

On our numbers Ilbirs have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Toktogul 43%.

How many goals will there be in Ilbirs vs Toktogul?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ilbirs vs Toktogul?

Our predicted score is Ilbirs 1–1 Toktogul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Ilbirs vs Toktogul?

Ilbirs vs Toktogul (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.