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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al Riffa v Al Najma: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Bahrain
2–2
FT
Al Riffa 66%Draw 19%Al Najma 15% Expected goals 2.45 – 1.13
66%
Betarazi pick

Al Riffa to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Riffa to win ✗66% · @1.30
Double chanceAl Riffa or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Al Riffa vs Al Najma: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Al Najma travel to face Al Riffa on Friday 30 October in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Al Riffa are 1st, leading the league, on 15 points after 7 matches; Al Najma are 8th (lower half) with 8.

Current form

Al Riffa, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Qatar SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Al Najma, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to A'Ali, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Al Riffa, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Al Najma.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Riffa 2.4 xG, Al Najma 1.1 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Riffa 66%, draw 19%, Al Najma 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Al Riffa to win (66%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Riffa 2–1 Al Najma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Riffa66%fair 1.52 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.75
Al Najma15%fair 6.55 · @8.50
3.58Expected goals
2.45Al Riffa xG
1.13Al Najma xG
56%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Al Riffa 2.4 – 1.1 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Riffa to win ✗66%1.521.30
Double chanceAl Riffa or draw ✓85%1.181.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.85
Draw no betAl Riffa (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicapAl Riffa -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
First team to scoreAl Riffa to score first66%1.50–
Half-time resultAl Riffa ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Riffa / FT Al Riffa ✗44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.58–

Recent results

Al Riffa – last 6

WWWLDD
27 Octvs Qatar SC4–1W
22 Oct@ Sitra3–2W
17 Octvs East Riffa4–0W
13 Oct@ Al Nasr0–3L
9 Oct@ Malkiya1–1D
10 Sepvs Khalidiya0–0D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Al Najma – last 6

LDWLWL
22 Octvs A'Ali1–2L
17 Octvs Al-Hidd2–2D
11 Oct@ Sitra2–0W
11 Sepvs East Riffa2–3L
2 Sep@ Malkiya1–0W
27 Augvs Khalidiya2–7L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Al Riffa and Al Najma.

Al Riffa vs Al Najma head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Riffa7430+1115
2Khalidiya7430+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7421+514
4Muharraq7322+411
5Al Ahli723209
6East Riffa7223-58
7Sitra7223-28
8Al Najma7223-48
9A'Ali7223-38
10Al-Hidd714207
11Manama7133-56
12Malkiya7025-112

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Riffa vs Al Najma?

Our pick is Al Riffa to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Al Riffa vs Al Najma?

On our numbers Al Riffa have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Al Najma 15%.

How many goals will there be in Al Riffa vs Al Najma?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Riffa vs Al Najma?

Our predicted score is Al Riffa 2–1 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Al Riffa vs Al Najma?

Al Riffa vs Al Najma (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.