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Tampa Bay Rowdies v Miami FC: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Al Lang Stadium
1–1
FTPens 4–5
Tampa Bay Rowdies 70%Draw 20%Miami FC 10% Expected goals 2.11 – 0.66
70%
Betarazi pick

Tampa Bay Rowdies to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗70% · @1.35
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 31 October the USL Championship brings Tampa Bay Rowdies against Miami FC at Al Lang Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 30 matches; Miami FC are 8th (lower half) with 36. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sporting JAX, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Miami FC, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Charleston Battery, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Oct 2026) it ended Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–2 Miami FC. The last 3 head-to-heads: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 wins, Miami FC 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.1 xG, Miami FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tampa Bay Rowdies 70%, draw 20%, Miami FC 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tampa Bay Rowdies to win (70%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Miami FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tampa Bay Rowdies70%fair 1.42 · @1.35
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @4.80
Miami FC10%fair 10.44 · @6.50
2.77Expected goals
2.11Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.66Miami FC xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–16%

From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.1 – 0.7 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗70%1.421.35
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓90%1.111.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.75
Draw no betTampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet)88%1.14–
Asian handicapTampa Bay Rowdies -1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreTampa Bay Rowdies to score first71%1.40–
Half-time resultTampa Bay Rowdies ahead at half-time ✗51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies ✗47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.87–

Recent results

Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6

WWWLDW
25 Octvs Sporting JAX2–0W
18 Octvs Detroit City1–0W
11 Oct@ Indy Eleven3–1W
4 Octvs Miami FC1–2L
27 Sep@ San Antonio0–0D
20 Sepvs Birmingham Legion4–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Miami FC – last 6

LLWWWW
18 Octvs Charleston Battery1–2L
11 Octvs Loudoun United0–2L
4 Oct@ Tampa Bay Rowdies2–1W
1 Octvs Sporting JAX4–1W
27 Sep@ Indy Eleven2–0W
20 Sep@ Rhode Island2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Oct 2026Tampa Bay Rowdies v Miami FC1–2
26 Jul 2026Miami FC v Tampa Bay Rowdies2–3
17 May 2026Miami FC v Tampa Bay Rowdies1–4
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?

Our pick is Tampa Bay Rowdies to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?

On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Miami FC 10%.

How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?

Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.