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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lexington v Colorado Springs: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Toyota Stadium
1–1
FTPens 4–5
Lexington 60%Draw 20%Colorado Springs 19% Expected goals 1.96 – 1.01
81%
Betarazi pick

Lexington or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Lexington to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLexington to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceLexington or draw ✓81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Lexington vs Colorado Springs: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Lexington v Colorado Springs in the USL Championship, played at Toyota Stadium. In the table, Lexington are 4th, among the top four, on 48 points after 30 matches; Colorado Springs are 5th (upper half) with 47. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Lexington, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Phoenix Rising, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.

Colorado Springs, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Tulsa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Lexington, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Colorado Springs.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended Lexington 0–1 Colorado Springs.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lexington 2.0 xG, Colorado Springs 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lexington 60%, draw 20%, Colorado Springs 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lexington or draw (81%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Lexington to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lexington or draw (81%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lexington 1–1 Colorado Springs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lexington60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.30
Colorado Springs19%fair 5.17 · @3.30
2.97Expected goals
1.96Lexington xG
1.01Colorado Springs xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Lexington 2.0 – 1.0 Colorado Springs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLexington to win ✗60%1.661.95 ▲
Double chanceLexington or draw ✓81%1.241.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.67
Draw no betLexington (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapColorado Springs +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.75–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreLexington to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultLexington ahead at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lexington / FT Lexington ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Lexington – last 6

DWDWWW
25 Oct@ Phoenix Rising3–3D
18 Oct@ Las Vegas Lights5–3W
10 Octvs FC Tulsa0–0D
4 Octvs El Paso Locomotive3–1W
27 Sep@ Monterey Bay3–2W
20 Sepvs Orange County SC6–0W
3.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Colorado Springs – last 6

WWDDDD
25 Octvs FC Tulsa2–0W
18 Oct@ Monterey Bay1–0W
11 Oct@ Sacramento Republic1–1D
4 Octvs Oakland Roots0–0D
27 Sep@ Detroit City0–0D
20 Sepvs New Mexico United0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Aug 2026Lexington v Colorado Springs0–1
Lexington vs Colorado Springs head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lexington vs Colorado Springs?

Our pick is Lexington or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Lexington vs Colorado Springs?

On our numbers Lexington have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Colorado Springs 19%.

How many goals will there be in Lexington vs Colorado Springs?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lexington vs Colorado Springs?

Our predicted score is Lexington 1–1 Colorado Springs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Lexington vs Colorado Springs?

Lexington vs Colorado Springs (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.