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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Seoul v Incheon United: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Seoul World Cup Stadium
0–1
FT
FC Seoul 64%Draw 23%Incheon United 13% Expected goals 1.84 – 0.71
87%
Betarazi pick

FC Seoul or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: FC Seoul to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Seoul to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceFC Seoul or draw ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66

FC Seoul vs Incheon United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Incheon United travel to face FC Seoul on Sunday 1 November in the K League 1, with Seoul World Cup Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 08:30 WAT. In the table, FC Seoul are 1st on 67 points after 35 matches; Incheon United are 6th with 49. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Seoul, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Viettel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Incheon United, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Jeju United FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United. The last 3 head-to-heads: FC Seoul 3 wins, Incheon United 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Seoul 1.8 xG, Incheon United 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Seoul 64%, draw 23%, Incheon United 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Seoul or draw (87%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: FC Seoul to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Seoul or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Seoul64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.60
Incheon United13%fair 7.70 · @4.00
2.55Expected goals
1.84FC Seoul xG
0.71Incheon United xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: FC Seoul 1.8 – 0.7 Incheon United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Seoul to win ✗64%1.571.75 ▲
Double chanceFC Seoul or draw ✗87%1.151.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.891.75
Draw no betFC Seoul (draw no bet) ✗83%1.20–
Asian handicapFC Seoul -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreFC Seoul to score first ✗67%1.50–
Half-time resultFC Seoul ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Seoul / FT FC Seoul ✗41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.66–

Recent results

FC Seoul – last 6

WDDLWL
28 Oct@ Viettel5–0W
24 Octvs Gangwon FC1–1D
18 Octvs Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–2D
14 Oct@ Melbourne Victory0–3L
10 Octvs Jeju United FC2–1W
20 Sep@ Pohang Steelers1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Incheon United – last 6

WDWDDL
24 Octvs Jeju United FC3–1W
18 Oct@ Gangwon FC1–1D
9 Octvs Pohang Steelers3–0W
27 Sep@ Gangwon FC0–0D
20 Sepvs Daejeon Citizen1–1D
12 Sep@ Ulsan Hyundai FC1–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Sep 2026FC Seoul v Incheon United1–0
5 Jul 2026FC Seoul v Incheon United1–0
28 Feb 2026Incheon United v FC Seoul1–2
FC Seoul vs Incheon United head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Seoul vs Incheon United?

Our pick is FC Seoul or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win FC Seoul vs Incheon United?

On our numbers FC Seoul have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Incheon United 13%.

How many goals will there be in FC Seoul vs Incheon United?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Seoul vs Incheon United?

Our predicted score is FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is FC Seoul vs Incheon United?

FC Seoul vs Incheon United (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Seoul World Cup Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.