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Daejeon Citizen v Incheon United: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Daejeon World Cup Stadium
2–0
FT
Daejeon Citizen 62%Draw 22%Incheon United 16% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.79
84%
Betarazi pick

Daejeon Citizen or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Daejeon Citizen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDaejeon Citizen to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceDaejeon Citizen or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42

Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the K League 1 brings Daejeon Citizen against Incheon United at Daejeon World Cup Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Daejeon Citizen are 3rd on 53 points after 35 matches; Incheon United are 6th with 49.

Current form

Daejeon Citizen, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kashiwa Reysol, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Incheon United, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Seoul, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Incheon United, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Daejeon Citizen.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Sep 2026) it ended Incheon United 1–1 Daejeon Citizen. The last 3 head-to-heads: Daejeon Citizen 1 win, Incheon United 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Daejeon Citizen 1.8 xG, Incheon United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Daejeon Citizen 62%, draw 22%, Incheon United 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Daejeon Citizen or draw (84%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Daejeon Citizen to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Daejeon Citizen or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Incheon United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Daejeon Citizen62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.46
Incheon United16%fair 6.09 · @3.65
2.59Expected goals
1.79Daejeon Citizen xG
0.79Incheon United xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Daejeon Citizen 1.8 – 0.8 Incheon United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDaejeon Citizen to win ✓62%1.621.95 ▲
Double chanceDaejeon Citizen or draw ✓84%1.201.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.75
Draw no betDaejeon Citizen (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapDaejeon Citizen -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.07
First team to scoreDaejeon Citizen to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultDaejeon Citizen ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Daejeon Citizen / FT Daejeon Citizen ✗38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.42–

Recent results

Daejeon Citizen – last 6

LDLWWD
3 Nov@ Kashiwa Reysol0–2L
31 Oct@ Jeonbuk Motors0–0D
27 Octvs Vissel Kobe0–1L
24 Oct@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–1W
18 Octvs Gwangju FC3–2W
13 Oct@ SHANGHAI SIPG1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Incheon United – last 6

WWDWDD
1 Nov@ FC Seoul1–0W
24 Octvs Jeju United FC3–1W
18 Oct@ Gangwon FC1–1D
9 Octvs Pohang Steelers3–0W
27 Sep@ Gangwon FC0–0D
20 Sepvs Daejeon Citizen1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Sep 2026Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen1–1
5 May 2026Daejeon Citizen v Incheon United0–0
18 Mar 2026Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen1–3
Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

Our pick is Daejeon Citizen or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

On our numbers Daejeon Citizen have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Incheon United 16%.

How many goals will there be in Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

Our predicted score is Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Incheon United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Daejeon World Cup Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.