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Gwangju FC v Gimcheon Sangmu FC: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Gwangju Football Stadium
1–1
FT
Gwangju FC 37%Draw 23%Gimcheon Sangmu FC 41% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.35
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1

Value bet: Gwangju FC to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84

Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 31 October the K League 1 brings Gwangju FC against Gimcheon Sangmu FC at Gwangju Football Stadium. Kick-off: 08:30 WAT. In the table, Gwangju FC are 12th on 23 points after 35 matches; Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th with 38. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gwangju FC, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Bucheon FC 1995, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Daejeon Citizen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–2 Gwangju FC. The last 3 head-to-heads: Gwangju FC 0 wins, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0, draws 3. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gwangju FC 1.3 xG, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gwangju FC 37%, draw 23%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Gwangju FC to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gwangju FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gwangju FC37%fair 2.73 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Gimcheon Sangmu FC41%fair 2.45 · @2.25
2.62Expected goals
1.27Gwangju FC xG
1.35Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Gwangju FC 1.3 – 1.4 Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗41%2.452.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.62
Draw no betGimcheon Sangmu FC (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapGwangju FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
First team to scoreGimcheon Sangmu FC to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FT Gimcheon Sangmu FC ✗23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.84–

Recent results

Gwangju FC – last 6

WLWDDL
24 Oct@ Bucheon FC 19953–0W
18 Oct@ Daejeon Citizen2–3L
11 Octvs Ulsan Hyundai FC4–3W
20 Sep@ Jeonbuk Motors2–2D
13 Sepvs FC Anyang1–1D
9 Sepvs Jeju United FC0–1L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 6

LDLWDD
24 Octvs Daejeon Citizen1–2L
18 Oct@ FC Seoul2–2D
10 Octvs FC Anyang0–1L
19 Sep@ Bucheon FC 19952–0W
13 Sepvs Gangwon FC2–2D
9 Sep@ Pohang Steelers0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Gwangju FC2–2
22 Jul 2026Gwangju FC v Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1
17 Mar 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Gwangju FC1–1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

On our numbers Gwangju FC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 41%.

How many goals will there be in Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Our predicted score is Gwangju FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Gwangju Football Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.