Wednesday 11 November 2026 21 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jeju United FC v Gwangju FC: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Jeju World Cup Stadium
1–1
FT
Jeju United FC 62%Draw 20%Gwangju FC 19% Expected goals 1.84 – 0.87
81%
Betarazi pick

Jeju United FC or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.24Odds
1

Value bet: Jeju United FC to win @ 1.86 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJeju United FC to win ✗62% · @1.86
Double chanceJeju United FC or draw ✓81% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Jeju United FC v Gwangju FC in the K League 1, played at Jeju World Cup Stadium. In the table, Jeju United FC are 7th on 48 points after 35 matches; Gwangju FC are 12th with 23. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Jeju United FC, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pohang Steelers, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Gwangju FC, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gimcheon Sangmu FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Gwangju FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Jeju United FC.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Sep 2026) it ended Gwangju FC 0–1 Jeju United FC. The last 3 head-to-heads: Jeju United FC 2 wins, Gwangju FC 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jeju United FC 1.8 xG, Gwangju FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jeju United FC 62%, draw 20%, Gwangju FC 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Jeju United FC or draw (81%) at 1.24.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Jeju United FC to win @1.86 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Jeju United FC or draw (81%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jeju United FC 1–0 Gwangju FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jeju United FC62%fair 1.62 · @1.86
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.62
Gwangju FC19%fair 5.36 · @3.82
2.71Expected goals
1.84Jeju United FC xG
0.87Gwangju FC xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Jeju United FC 1.8 – 0.9 Gwangju FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJeju United FC to win ✗62%1.621.86 ▲
Double chanceJeju United FC or draw ✓81%1.231.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.67
Draw no betJeju United FC (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapJeju United FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.441.34
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.10
First team to scoreJeju United FC to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultJeju United FC ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jeju United FC / FT Jeju United FC ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Jeju United FC – last 6

DLLLWD
1 Nov@ Pohang Steelers1–1D
24 Oct@ Incheon United1–3L
18 Oct@ Jeonbuk Motors2–3L
10 Oct@ FC Seoul1–2L
20 Sep@ Gangwon FC1–0W
12 Sep@ Bucheon FC 19952–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Gwangju FC – last 6

DWLWDD
31 Octvs Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1D
24 Oct@ Bucheon FC 19953–0W
18 Oct@ Daejeon Citizen2–3L
11 Octvs Ulsan Hyundai FC4–3W
20 Sep@ Jeonbuk Motors2–2D
13 Sepvs FC Anyang1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Sep 2026Gwangju FC v Jeju United FC0–1
26 Jul 2026Gwangju FC v Jeju United FC1–2
1 Mar 2026Jeju United FC v Gwangju FC0–0
Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC?

Our pick is Jeju United FC or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC?

On our numbers Jeju United FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gwangju FC 19%.

How many goals will there be in Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC?

Our predicted score is Jeju United FC 1–0 Gwangju FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC?

Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Jeju World Cup Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.