Value bet: Union Magdalena to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.88
Popayan vs Union Magdalena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Thursday 29 October: Popayan v Union Magdalena in the Primera B. In the table, Popayan are 2nd, among the top four, on 7 points after 4 matches; Union Magdalena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Popayan, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Internacional Palmira, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Union Magdalena, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Depor FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Union Magdalena, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Popayan.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Oct 2026) it ended Popayan 1–1 Union Magdalena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Popayan 1.1 xG, Union Magdalena 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Popayan 35%, draw 23%, Union Magdalena 43%.
Price worth noting: Union Magdalena to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Popayan 1–1 Union Magdalena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Popayan35%fair 2.87 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.25
Union Magdalena43%fair 2.35 · @2.55
2.45Expected goals
1.15Popayan xG
1.31Union Magdalena xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Popayan 1.1 – 1.3 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Popayan have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Union Magdalena 43%.
How many goals will there be in Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Popayan 1–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
Popayan vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
