Real Cartagena 64%Draw 23%Quindio 13%Expected goals 1.69 – 0.62
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
1
Value bet: Real Cartagena to win @ 1.79 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗64% · @1.79
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✗87% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Real Cartagena vs Quindio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Cartagena welcome Quindio for a Primera B fixture on Wednesday 4 November (02:30 WAT). In the table, Real Cartagena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 3 matches; Quindio are 1st (leading the league) with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Cartagena, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tigres FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Quindio, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Real Cundinamarca, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Quindio, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Real Cartagena.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Oct 2026) it ended Quindio 1–1 Real Cartagena. The last 2 head-to-heads: Real Cartagena 1 win, Quindio 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Cartagena 1.7 xG, Quindio 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cartagena 64%, draw 23%, Quindio 13%.
Lower-risk option: Real Cartagena or draw (87%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.97.
Price worth noting: Real Cartagena to win @1.79 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cartagena 2–0 Quindio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Cartagena64%fair 1.57 · @1.79
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Quindio13%fair 7.43 · @3.96
2.30Expected goals
1.69Real Cartagena xG
0.62Quindio xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.7 – 0.6 Quindio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Quindio 13%.
How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 2–0 Quindio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
Real Cartagena vs Quindio (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
