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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Cartagena v Real Cundinamarca: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia
1–0
FT
Real Cartagena 60%Draw 20%Real Cundinamarca 20% Expected goals 1.63 – 0.79
60%
Betarazi pick

Real Cartagena to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Cartagena to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71

Real Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Cartagena welcome Real Cundinamarca for a Primera B fixture on Sunday 8 November (00:10 WAT). In the table, Real Cartagena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 3 matches; Real Cundinamarca are 4th (among the top four) with 1. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Real Cartagena, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Quindio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Real Cundinamarca, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tigres FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Real Soacha 1–1 Real Cartagena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Cartagena 1.6 xG, Real Cundinamarca 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cartagena 60%, draw 20%, Real Cundinamarca 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Real Cartagena or draw (80%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.98.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Cartagena to win (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cartagena 1–0 Real Cundinamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Cartagena60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.50
Real Cundinamarca20%fair 4.98 · @5.25
2.42Expected goals
1.63Real Cartagena xG
0.79Real Cundinamarca xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.6 – 0.8 Real Cundinamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Cartagena to win ✓60%1.671.67
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✓80%1.251.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.921.98
Draw no betReal Cartagena (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapReal Cundinamarca +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreReal Cartagena to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena ✗35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.71–

Recent results

Real Cartagena – last 6

LDDWDD
4 Novvs Quindio2–3L
29 Oct@ Tigres FC0–0D
24 Oct@ Barranquilla1–1D
20 Octvs Patriotas3–0W
16 Oct@ Quindio1–1D
8 Oct@ Depor FC2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Cundinamarca – last 6

DLWDDL
1 Novvs Tigres FC0–0D
29 Oct@ Quindio0–2L
24 Octvs Ind. Yumbo1–0W
20 Oct@ Tigres FC0–0D
14 Octvs Bogota FC0–0D
9 Octvs Real Santander0–1L
0.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Real Soacha v Real Cartagena1–1
Real Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca?

Our pick is Real Cartagena to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Real Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca?

On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Cundinamarca 20%.

How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca?

Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–0 Real Cundinamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Real Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca?

Real Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.