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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Cundinamarca v Real Cartagena: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Municipal de Mosquera
Thu 12 Nov 2026
Real Cundinamarca 37%Draw 28%Real Cartagena 35% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.12
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Cundinamarca to win37% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.44

Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Cartagena travel to face Real Cundinamarca on Thursday 12 November in the Primera B, with Estadio Municipal de Mosquera the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Real Cundinamarca are 4th, among the top four, on 1 points after 3 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Real Cundinamarca, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Cartagena, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Real Cartagena, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Cundinamarca, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Real Cartagena, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Real Cundinamarca.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Nov 2026) it ended Real Cartagena 1–0 Real Cundinamarca. The last 2 head-to-heads: Real Cundinamarca 0 wins, Real Cartagena 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Cundinamarca 1.2 xG, Real Cartagena 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cundinamarca 37%, draw 28%, Real Cartagena 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cundinamarca 1–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Cundinamarca37%fair 2.72 · @2.54
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.89
Real Cartagena35%fair 2.86 · @2.64
2.34Expected goals
1.22Real Cundinamarca xG
1.12Real Cartagena xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Real Cundinamarca 1.2 – 1.1 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Real CundinamarcaReal Cartagena
Attack vs Primera B average-2%+40%
Goals conceded vs average-23%+9%
Our expected goals here1.241.05

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Cundinamarca to win37%2.722.54
Double chanceEither team to win72%1.391.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.961.85
Draw no betReal Cundinamarca (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapReal Cartagena +0.5 (Asian handicap)62%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals67%1.491.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals58%1.731.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.291.19
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.121.03
First team to scoreReal Cundinamarca to score first47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Cundinamarca / FT Real Cundinamarca22%4.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.44–

Recent results

Real Cundinamarca – last 6

LDLWDD
8 Nov@ Real Cartagena0–1L
1 Novvs Tigres FC0–0D
29 Oct@ Quindio0–2L
24 Octvs Ind. Yumbo1–0W
20 Oct@ Tigres FC0–0D
14 Octvs Bogota FC0–0D
0.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Real Cartagena – last 6

WLDDWD
8 Novvs Real Cundinamarca1–0W
4 Novvs Quindio2–3L
29 Oct@ Tigres FC0–0D
24 Oct@ Barranquilla1–1D
20 Octvs Patriotas3–0W
16 Oct@ Quindio1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Nov 2026Real Cartagena v Real Cundinamarca1–0
2 Aug 2026Real Soacha v Real Cartagena1–1
Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

On our numbers Real Cundinamarca have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Real Cartagena 35%.

How many goals will there be in Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

Our predicted score is Real Cundinamarca 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mosquera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.