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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Quindio v Real Cartagena: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Centenario

Quindio

WLWWW
Mon 16 Nov 2026
Quindio 41%Draw 25%Real Cartagena 33% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.13
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultQuindio to win41% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 8.80

Quindio vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Quindio welcome Real Cartagena to Estadio Centenario for a Primera B fixture on Monday 16 November (02:10 WAT). In the table, Quindio are 1st, leading the league, on 9 points after 4 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 5.

Current form

Quindio, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tigres FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Real Cartagena, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Real Cundinamarca, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Quindio, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Real Cartagena.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Nov 2026) it ended Real Cartagena 2–3 Quindio. The last 3 head-to-heads: Quindio 1 win, Real Cartagena 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Quindio 1.3 xG, Real Cartagena 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Quindio 41%, draw 25%, Real Cartagena 33%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quindio 1–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Quindio41%fair 2.41 · @2.28
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.04
Real Cartagena33%fair 3.01 · @2.85
2.45Expected goals
1.32Quindio xG
1.13Real Cartagena xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Quindio 1.3 – 1.1 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

QuindioReal Cartagena
Attack vs Primera B average+6%+44%
Goals conceded vs average-15%+12%
Our expected goals here1.381.18

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQuindio to win41%2.412.28
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.341.27
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.941.85
Draw no betQuindio (draw no bet)56%1.80–
Asian handicapReal Cartagena +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.441.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.801.66
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.321.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.131.04
First team to scoreQuindio to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Quindio / FT Quindio24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011%8.80–

Recent results

Quindio – last 6

WLWWWW
12 Novvs Tigres FC1–0W
7 Nov@ Tigres FC0–2L
4 Nov@ Real Cartagena3–2W
29 Octvs Real Cundinamarca2–0W
24 Octvs Tigres FC2–0W
20 Oct@ Depor FC1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Real Cartagena – last 6

DWLDDW
12 Nov@ Real Cundinamarca2–2D
8 Novvs Real Cundinamarca1–0W
4 Novvs Quindio2–3L
29 Oct@ Tigres FC0–0D
24 Oct@ Barranquilla1–1D
20 Octvs Patriotas3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Nov 2026Real Cartagena v Quindio2–3
16 Oct 2026Quindio v Real Cartagena1–1
1 Apr 2026Real Cartagena v Quindio2–1
Quindio vs Real Cartagena head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Quindio4021109+1473
2Envigado4219149+2171
3Real Cartagena42171510+1766
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC40131413+553
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca34101311+143
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

On our numbers Quindio have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Cartagena 33%.

How many goals will there be in Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

Our predicted score is Quindio 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

Quindio vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.