Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLeones de Rosario to win47% · @1.96
Double chanceLeones de Rosario or draw76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.23
Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sportivo Barracas travel to face Leones de Rosario on Monday 16 November in the Primera C – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Leones de Rosario are 4th, among the top four, on 51 points after 32 matches; Sportivo Barracas are 7th (upper half) with 40.
Current form
Leones de Rosario, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mercedes, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sportivo Barracas, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sacachispas, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Leones de Rosario, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Sportivo Barracas.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Oct 2026) it ended Sportivo Barracas 0–2 Leones de Rosario. The last 2 head-to-heads: Leones de Rosario 2 wins, Sportivo Barracas 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones de Rosario 1.3 xG, Sportivo Barracas 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones de Rosario 47%, draw 29%, Sportivo Barracas 24%.
Lower-risk option: Leones de Rosario or draw (76%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones de Rosario 1–0 Sportivo Barracas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones de Rosario47%fair 2.13 · @1.96
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @3.05
Sportivo Barracas24%fair 4.15 · @3.52
2.05Expected goals
1.31Leones de Rosario xG
0.74Sportivo Barracas xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–013%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Leones de Rosario 1.3 – 0.7 Sportivo Barracas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leones de Rosario
Sportivo Barracas
Attack vs Primera C average
+1%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.12
0.52
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?
On our numbers Leones de Rosario have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sportivo Barracas 24%.
How many goals will there be in Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?
Our predicted score is Leones de Rosario 1–0 Sportivo Barracas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?
Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
