Value bet: Cancún to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPiratas to win ✗40% · @2.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83
Cancún vs Piratas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cancún welcome Piratas for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Friday 6 November (02:00 WAT). In the table, Cancún are 5th, upper half, on 25 points after 15 matches; Piratas are 4th (among the top four) with 25. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cancún, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over CDS Tampico Madero, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Piratas, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tapatío, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended Piratas 0–1 Cancún.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cancún 1.3 xG, Piratas 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cancún 36%, draw 23%, Piratas 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.88.
Price worth noting: Cancún to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cancún 1–1 Piratas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cancún36%fair 2.74 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.06
Piratas40%fair 2.49 · @2.29
2.65Expected goals
1.29Cancún xG
1.37Piratas xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cancún 1.3 – 1.4 Piratas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Cancún vs Piratas?
On our numbers Cancún have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Piratas 40%.
How many goals will there be in Cancún vs Piratas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cancún vs Piratas?
Our predicted score is Cancún 1–1 Piratas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cancún vs Piratas?
Cancún vs Piratas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
