Tlaxcala 37%Draw 21%CA La Paz 41%Expected goals 1.65 – 1.75
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.49 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
Picks by market
ResultCA La Paz to win ✓41% · @2.49
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CA La Paz travel to face Tlaxcala on Thursday 5 November in the Liga De Expansión MX, with Estadio Tlahuicole the venue – the ball rolls at 02:05 WAT. In the table, Tlaxcala are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; CA La Paz are 1st (leading the league) with 30.
Current form
Tlaxcala, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cruz Azul Hidalgo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
CA La Paz, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dorados, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Oct 2026) it ended CA La Paz 2–2 Tlaxcala. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tlaxcala 0 wins, CA La Paz 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tlaxcala 1.7 xG, CA La Paz 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tlaxcala 37%, draw 21%, CA La Paz 41%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tlaxcala 1–2 CA La Paz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tlaxcala37%fair 2.67 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.52
CA La Paz41%fair 2.42 · @2.49
3.40Expected goals
1.65Tlaxcala xG
1.75CA La Paz xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tlaxcala 1.7 – 1.7 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Tlaxcala have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CA La Paz 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?
Our predicted score is Tlaxcala 1–2 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?
Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tlahuicole.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
