Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSmouha SC to win ✓64% · @1.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.09
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Smouha SC vs El Minya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 November the Cup brings Smouha SC against El Minya. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT.
Current form
Smouha SC, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pyramids FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Smouha SC 1.9 xG, El Minya 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Smouha SC 64%, draw 18%, El Minya 18%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.09.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.09 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Smouha SC 2–0 El Minya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Smouha SC64%fair 1.57 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @4.10
El Minya18%fair 5.48 · @8.05
2.68Expected goals
1.85Smouha SC xG
0.83El Minya xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Smouha SC 1.9 – 0.8 El Minya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Smouha SC to win✓
64%
1.57
1.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
2.09 ▲
Draw no bet
Smouha SC (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Smouha SC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Smouha SC to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Smouha SC ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Smouha SC / FT Smouha SC✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Smouha SC – last 6
LDWWWL
3 Nov
vs Pyramids FC
0–1
L
31 Oct
@ Petrojet
1–1
D
19 Oct
@ El Gouna FC
2–0
W
12 Oct
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
1–0
W
14 Sep
@ El Geish
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs Ceramica Cleopatra
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
El Minya
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smouha SC and El Minya.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Smouha SC vs El Minya?
On our numbers Smouha SC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and El Minya 18%.
How many goals will there be in Smouha SC vs El Minya?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smouha SC vs El Minya?
Our predicted score is Smouha SC 2–0 El Minya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Smouha SC vs El Minya?
Smouha SC vs El Minya (Cup) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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