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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

El Geish v Asyut Petrol: numbers & prediction

Cup · Egypt · Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium
0–1
FT
El Geish 62%Draw 23%Asyut Petrol 15% Expected goals 1.54 – 0.57
85%
Betarazi pick

El Geish or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: El Geish to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEl Geish to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceEl Geish or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.38

El Geish vs Asyut Petrol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Asyut Petrol travel to face El Geish on Sunday 8 November in the Cup, with Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Current form

El Geish, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Ittihad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Asyut Petrol, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Enppi, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Asyut Petrol, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for El Geish.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give El Geish 1.5 xG, Asyut Petrol 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – El Geish 62%, draw 23%, Asyut Petrol 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: El Geish or draw (85%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: El Geish to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was El Geish or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Geish 1–0 Asyut Petrol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

El Geish62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.10
Asyut Petrol15%fair 6.88 · @3.60
2.12Expected goals
1.54El Geish xG
0.57Asyut Petrol xG
46%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: El Geish 1.5 – 0.6 Asyut Petrol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEl Geish to win ✗62%1.611.95 ▲
Double chanceEl Geish or draw ✗85%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.861.57
Draw no betEl Geish (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapEl Geish -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗62%1.621.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.211.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.04
First team to scoreEl Geish to score first ✗64%1.56–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT El Geish / FT El Geish ✗37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.38–

Recent results

El Geish – last 6

DLLLDL
30 Oct@ Al Ittihad0–0D
20 Octvs Pyramids FC1–4L
13 Oct@ National Bank of Egypt0–3L
14 Sepvs Smouha SC0–1L
7 Sep@ Olympic El Qanah1–1D
1 Sepvs Masr0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Asyut Petrol – last 6

DDLWLL
3 Nov@ Enppi0–0D
30 Octvs El Gouna FC1–1D
20 Octvs Zamalek SC0–1L
13 Oct@ Abu Qair Semad2–1W
7 Octvs Al Ahly0–5L
15 Sepvs Future FC0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between El Geish and Asyut Petrol.

El Geish vs Asyut Petrol head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?

Our pick is El Geish or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?

On our numbers El Geish have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Asyut Petrol 15%.

How many goals will there be in El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?

Our predicted score is El Geish 1–0 Asyut Petrol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?

El Geish vs Asyut Petrol (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.