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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Charlotte Independence v Forward Madison: numbers & prediction

USL League One · USA · American Legion Memorial Stadium
Charlotte Independence 44%Draw 21%Forward Madison 36% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.50
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.43Odds

Picks by market

ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓44% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.43
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.34

Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Forward Madison travel to face Charlotte Independence on Monday 9 November in the USL League One, with American Legion Memorial Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Charlotte Independence are 1st, leading the league, on 66 points after 32 matches; Forward Madison are 4th (among the top four) with 56.

Current form

Charlotte Independence, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Naples, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Forward Madison, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Spokane Velocity, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Charlotte Independence, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Forward Madison.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended Forward Madison 1–1 Charlotte Independence. The last 2 head-to-heads: Charlotte Independence 1 win, Forward Madison 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte Independence 1.7 xG, Forward Madison 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte Independence 44%, draw 21%, Forward Madison 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.43.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte Independence 1–1 Forward Madison. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Charlotte Independence44%fair 2.29 · @2.18
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.52
Forward Madison36%fair 2.81 · @2.64
3.19Expected goals
1.69Charlotte Independence xG
1.50Forward Madison xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 1.7 – 1.5 Forward Madison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCharlotte Independence to win ✓44%2.292.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.43
Draw no betCharlotte Independence (draw no bet) ✓55%1.81–
Asian handicapForward Madison +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.631.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.681.56
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.20
First team to scoreCharlotte Independence to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence ✓25%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.34–

Recent results

Charlotte Independence – last 6

WLWWWD
2 Novvs Naples5–1W
24 Oct@ Portland Hearts of Pine1–4L
18 Oct@ Greenville Triumph3–0W
11 Octvs NY Cosmos3–0W
4 Oct@ Sarasota Paradise3–2W
26 Sepvs Fort Wayne1–1D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Forward Madison – last 6

WDWLDL
31 Octvs Spokane Velocity2–1W
24 Octvs Union Omaha0–0D
17 Octvs Portland Hearts of Pine2–0W
11 Oct@ Westchester SC2–3L
4 Oct@ Fort Wayne0–0D
26 Sepvs Spokane Velocity0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Aug 2026Forward Madison v Charlotte Independence1–1
24 May 2026Charlotte Independence v Forward Madison3–1
Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?

On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Forward Madison 36%.

How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?

Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 1–1 Forward Madison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?

Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison (USL League One) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.