Kimberley Mar del Plata 56%Draw 31%Olimpo Bahia Blanca 13%Expected goals 1.12 – 0.48
72%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.40
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultKimberley Mar del Plata to win56% · @1.44
Double chanceKimberley Mar del Plata or draw87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score57% · @1.33
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals72% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–023% · fair 4.42
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Thursday 12 November: Kimberley Mar del Plata v Olimpo Bahia Blanca in the Torneo Federal A. In the table, Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st (leading the league) with 31.
Current form
Kimberley Mar del Plata, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Argentino Monte Maíz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gimnasia Concepción, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kimberley Mar del Plata 0 wins, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.1 xG, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0.5 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kimberley Mar del Plata 56%, draw 31%, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 13%.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.33.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kimberley Mar del Plata56%fair 1.78 · @1.44
Draw31%fair 3.26 · @3.30
Olimpo Bahia Blanca13%fair 7.52 · @7.50
1.60Expected goals
1.12Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
0.48Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
43%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
0–020%
2–013%
1–111%
0–110%
2–16%
From our goals model: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.1 – 0.5 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Kimberley Mar del Plata
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+11%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
-34%
Our expected goals here
0.88
0.50
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kimberley Mar del Plata to win
56%
1.78
1.44
Double chance
Kimberley Mar del Plata or draw
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.33
Draw no bet
Kimberley Mar del Plata (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Olimpo Bahia Blanca +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
94%
1.06
1.03
First team to score
Kimberley Mar del Plata to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kimberley Mar del Plata / FT Kimberley Mar del Plata
What is the prediction for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
On our numbers Kimberley Mar del Plata have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 13%.
How many goals will there be in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our predicted score is Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
