Sarmiento de La Banda 40%Draw 25%Alvarado 35%Expected goals 1.06 – 0.96
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.37Odds
2
Value bet: Alvarado to win @ 3.12 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSarmiento de La Banda to win ✓40% · @2.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.56
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.11
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Alvarado: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Torneo Federal A brings Sarmiento de La Banda against Alvarado. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Alvarado are 5th (upper half) with 27. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sarmiento de La Banda, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Atenas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Alvarado, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sportivo Las Parejas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento de La Banda 1.1 xG, Alvarado 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento de La Banda 40%, draw 25%, Alvarado 35%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.56.
Price worth noting: Alvarado to win @3.12 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Alvarado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento de La Banda40%fair 2.49 · @2.27
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.76
Alvarado35%fair 2.87 · @3.12
2.02Expected goals
1.06Sarmiento de La Banda xG
0.96Alvarado xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sarmiento de La Banda 1.1 – 1.0 Alvarado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento de La Banda to win✓
40%
2.49
2.27
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.32
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.56
Draw no bet
Sarmiento de La Banda (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Alvarado +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.56
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.37
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.09
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Sarmiento de La Banda to score first✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.11
–
Recent results
Sarmiento de La Banda – last 6
LWDDLL
1 Nov
@ Atenas
2–4
L
25 Oct
vs Atenas
3–0
W
18 Oct
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Sportivo Belgrano
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ San Martin Formosa
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alvarado – last 6
LWDLWD
1 Nov
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
1–2
L
25 Oct
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Cipolletti
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Cipolletti
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento de La Banda and Alvarado.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Alvarado?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Sarmiento de La Banda vs Alvarado?
On our numbers Sarmiento de La Banda have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alvarado 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento de La Banda vs Alvarado?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Alvarado?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Alvarado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento de La Banda vs Alvarado?
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Alvarado (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
