Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.45
Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 November the Primera Nacional brings Deportivo Moron against Colegiales at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Moron are 3rd, among the top four, on 61 points after 36 matches; Colegiales are 7th (upper half) with 52.
Current form
Deportivo Moron, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ciudad de Bolívar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Colegiales, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Martin Tucuman, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Colegiales, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Deportivo Moron.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Moron 1.3 xG, Colegiales 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Moron 49%, draw 29%, Colegiales 21%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Moron or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Moron 1–0 Colegiales. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Moron49%fair 2.02 · @1.90
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @3.00
Colegiales21%fair 4.67 · @4.50
2.13Expected goals
1.30Deportivo Moron xG
0.83Colegiales xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.3 – 0.8 Colegiales expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Moron
Colegiales
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+29%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
-20%
Our expected goals here
1.26
0.90
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Moron to win
49%
2.02
1.90
Double chance
Deportivo Moron or draw
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.92
1.50
Draw no bet
Deportivo Moron (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Colegiales +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
94%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Deportivo Moron to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.45
–
Recent results
Deportivo Moron – last 6
WLLLWL
31 Oct
vs Ciudad de Bolívar
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Almirante Brown
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Atletico Mitre
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ CA Estudiantes
0–2
L
3 Oct
vs All Boys
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Los Andes
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Colegiales – last 6
DDWDWW
31 Oct
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Agropecuario
3–0
W
10 Oct
vs Tristan Suarez
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Club Atlético Güemes
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Chacarita Juniors
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Moron and Colegiales.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?
On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Colegiales 21%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Moron 1–0 Colegiales, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?
Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.