Ferro Carril Oeste 54%Draw 27%Gimnasia Y Tiro 18%Expected goals 1.27 – 0.72
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultFerro Carril Oeste to win54% · @1.50
Double chanceFerro Carril Oeste or draw82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.74
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ferro Carril Oeste welcome Gimnasia Y Tiro to Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry for a Primera Nacional fixture on Monday 16 November (00:30 WAT). In the table, Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd, among the top four, on 66 points after 36 matches; Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th (upper half) with 52. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ferro Carril Oeste, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Acassuso, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gimnasia Y Tiro, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Quilmes, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferro Carril Oeste 1.3 xG, Gimnasia Y Tiro 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferro Carril Oeste 54%, draw 27%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 18%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.44.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferro Carril Oeste54%fair 1.84 · @1.50
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.50
Gimnasia Y Tiro18%fair 5.49 · @7.50
1.99Expected goals
1.27Ferro Carril Oeste xG
0.72Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
46%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ferro Carril Oeste 1.3 – 0.7 Gimnasia Y Tiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ferro Carril Oeste
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-7%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.08
0.78
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferro Carril Oeste to win
54%
1.84
1.50
Double chance
Ferro Carril Oeste or draw
82%
1.22
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.44
Draw no bet
Ferro Carril Oeste (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia Y Tiro +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.07
1.05
First team to score
Ferro Carril Oeste to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferro Carril Oeste / FT Ferro Carril Oeste
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.74
–
Recent results
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 6
DLWDLW
31 Oct
@ Acassuso
0–0
D
24 Oct
vs Chaco For Ever
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Racing Cordoba
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Central Norte
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Deportivo Madryn
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Defensores De Belgrano
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Y Tiro – last 6
LLWDLW
31 Oct
vs Quilmes
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Midland
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Atlanta
3–1
W
11 Oct
@ Gimnasia Jujuy
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferro Carril Oeste and Gimnasia Y Tiro.
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
On our numbers Ferro Carril Oeste have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimnasia Y Tiro 18%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our predicted score is Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
