Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ind. Yumbo travel to face Union Magdalena on Friday 6 November in the Primera B, with Estadio Sierra Nevada the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Union Magdalena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Ind. Yumbo are 4th (among the top four) with 2. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Union Magdalena, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Popayan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Ind. Yumbo, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Envigado, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Oct 2026) it ended Union Magdalena 1–1 Ind. Yumbo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Union Magdalena 1 win, Ind. Yumbo 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 1.7 xG, Ind. Yumbo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 61%, draw 21%, Ind. Yumbo 18%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 1–0 Ind. Yumbo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Magdalena61%fair 1.64 · @1.47
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.74
Ind. Yumbo18%fair 5.59 · @5.85
2.42Expected goals
1.67Union Magdalena xG
0.75Ind. Yumbo xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.7 – 0.7 Ind. Yumbo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ind. Yumbo 18%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Ind. Yumbo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.