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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Birzebbuga v Mosta: numbers & prediction

0–0
FT

Mosta

LDLDD
Birzebbuga 45%Draw 21%Mosta 34% Expected goals 1.56 – 1.32
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.34 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.34Odds

Picks by market

ResultBirzebbuga to win ✗45% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09

Birzebbuga vs Mosta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Friday 6 November: Birzebbuga v Mosta in the Premier League. In the table, Birzebbuga are 11th on 7 points after 12 matches; Mosta are 9th with 15.

Current form

Birzebbuga, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Birkirkara, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Mosta, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Zabbar St. Patrick, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Oct 2026) it ended Mosta 2–2 Birzebbuga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Birzebbuga 1.6 xG, Mosta 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Birzebbuga 45%, draw 21%, Mosta 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.58.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birzebbuga 1–1 Mosta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Birzebbuga45%fair 2.24 · @2.26
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.35
Mosta34%fair 2.94 · @2.62
2.89Expected goals
1.56Birzebbuga xG
1.32Mosta xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Birzebbuga 1.6 – 1.3 Mosta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBirzebbuga to win ✗45%2.242.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.58
Draw no betBirzebbuga (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapMosta +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.291.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.34
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.09
First team to scoreBirzebbuga to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Birzebbuga / FT Birzebbuga ✗26%3.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.09–

Recent results

Birzebbuga – last 6

DDWLDL
31 Oct@ Birkirkara2–2D
25 Oct@ Gzira United2–2D
21 Octvs Marsaxlokk2–0W
18 Oct@ Hibernians0–1L
9 Oct@ Mosta2–2D
19 Sepvs Valletta FC0–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Mosta – last 6

LDLDDD
31 Oct@ Zabbar St. Patrick0–5L
26 Octvs Hibernians2–2D
21 Octvs Valletta FC0–2L
18 Oct@ Floriana3–3D
14 Oct@ Gzira United1–1D
9 Octvs Birzebbuga2–2D
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Oct 2026Mosta v Birzebbuga2–2
Birzebbuga vs Mosta head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Birzebbuga vs Mosta?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Birzebbuga vs Mosta?

On our numbers Birzebbuga have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mosta 34%.

How many goals will there be in Birzebbuga vs Mosta?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Birzebbuga vs Mosta?

Our predicted score is Birzebbuga 1–1 Mosta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Birzebbuga vs Mosta?

Birzebbuga vs Mosta (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.