Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.97 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAC Douane to win ✗43% · @2.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.29
Chemal vs AC Douane: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:50 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Chemal v AC Douane in the Premier League. In the table, Chemal are 8th, lower half, on 6 points after 4 matches; AC Douane are 7th (upper half) with 6. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chemal, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gendrim, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
AC Douane, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Nouakchott King's, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chemal 1.0 xG, AC Douane 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chemal 34%, draw 23%, AC Douane 43%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.97.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.97 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chemal 1–1 AC Douane. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chemal34%fair 2.97 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.97
AC Douane43%fair 2.33 · @2.27
2.27Expected goals
1.04Chemal xG
1.23AC Douane xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Chemal 1.0 – 1.2 AC Douane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Douane to win✗
43%
2.33
2.27
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.97 ▲
Draw no bet
AC Douane (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Chemal +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.51
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
AC Douane to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Douane / FT AC Douane✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.29
–
Recent results
Chemal – last 6
DDWLWL
26 Oct
vs Gendrim
1–1
D
12 Oct
vs Police
0–0
D
25 May
vs Pompiers
1–0
W
12 May
vs Nouakchott King's
3–4
L
14 Mar
vs N'Zidane
2–0
W
9 Mar
@ Gendrim
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AC Douane – last 6
WLWDLD
29 Oct
@ Nouakchott King's
4–2
W
11 Oct
vs Gendrim
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Hafia
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Hafia
2–2
D
19 May
vs Gendrim
0–1
L
4 May
vs Nouadhibou
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chemal and AC Douane.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Chemal vs AC Douane?
On our numbers Chemal have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AC Douane 43%.
How many goals will there be in Chemal vs AC Douane?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chemal vs AC Douane?
Our predicted score is Chemal 1–1 AC Douane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Chemal vs AC Douane?
Chemal vs AC Douane (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:50 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
