Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marcílio Dias v Figueirense: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Marcílio Dias 37%Draw 25%Figueirense 39% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.42
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.29Odds

Picks by market

ResultFigueirense to win ✗39% · @2.43
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.82

Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Marcílio Dias v Figueirense in the Copa Santa Catarina.

Current form

Marcílio Dias, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Barra, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Figueirense, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Blumenau, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Figueirense, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Marcílio Dias.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Oct 2026) it ended Marcílio Dias 2–2 Figueirense. The last 2 head-to-heads: Marcílio Dias 1 win, Figueirense 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marcílio Dias 1.4 xG, Figueirense 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marcílio Dias 37%, draw 25%, Figueirense 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.74.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marcílio Dias 1–1 Figueirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marcílio Dias37%fair 2.72 · @2.82
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.82
Figueirense39%fair 2.60 · @2.43
2.81Expected goals
1.39Marcílio Dias xG
1.42Figueirense xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–28%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%

From our goals model: Marcílio Dias 1.4 – 1.4 Figueirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFigueirense to win ✗39%2.602.43
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.74
Draw no betFigueirense (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapMarcílio Dias +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.361.29
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.971.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.23
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.07
First team to scoreFigueirense to score first ✗48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Figueirense / FT Figueirense ✗22%4.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.82–

Recent results

Marcílio Dias – last 6

DDDDWL
1 Novvs Barra2–2D
16 Octvs Figueirense2–2D
9 Oct@ Nação0–0D
26 Sep@ Blumenau1–1D
19 Sepvs Hercílio Luz4–2W
13 Sep@ Santa Catarina1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Figueirense – last 6

LWDWWW
1 Nov@ Blumenau2–3L
24 Octvs Joinville1–0W
16 Oct@ Marcílio Dias2–2D
10 Octvs Hercílio Luz1–0W
27 Sep@ Metropolitano1–0W
20 Sep@ Santa Catarina2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Oct 2026Marcílio Dias v Figueirense2–2
21 Feb 2026Figueirense v Marcílio Dias0–1
Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?

On our numbers Marcílio Dias have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Figueirense 39%.

How many goals will there be in Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?

Our predicted score is Marcílio Dias 1–1 Figueirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?

Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.