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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wanderers v Juventud: numbers & prediction

Tue 17 Nov 2026
Wanderers 41%Draw 27%Juventud 32% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.08
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultWanderers to win41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.01

Wanderers vs Juventud: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wanderers welcome Juventud for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Tuesday 17 November (00:00 WAT). In the table, Wanderers are 10th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Juventud are 8th (upper half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Wanderers, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Lito, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Juventud, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Liverpool Montevideo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Juventud, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Wanderers.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Juventud 2–5 Wanderers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wanderers 1.3 xG, Juventud 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wanderers 41%, draw 27%, Juventud 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wanderers 1–1 Juventud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wanderers41%fair 2.46 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.20
Juventud32%fair 3.12 · @3.00
2.35Expected goals
1.27Wanderers xG
1.08Juventud xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Wanderers 1.3 – 1.1 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

WanderersJuventud
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average-1%-18%
Goals conceded vs average+10%-8%
Our expected goals here1.170.97

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWanderers to win41%2.462.15
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.371.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.751.80
Draw no betWanderers (draw no bet)56%1.79–
Asian handicapJuventud +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.801.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.311.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.131.10
First team to scoreWanderers to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wanderers / FT Wanderers24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.01–

Recent results

Wanderers – last 6

LDLLLD
5 Nov@ Lito0–4L
31 Oct@ Penarol1–1D
25 Octvs Progreso0–1L
17 Oct@ Racing Montevideo0–3L
10 Octvs Boston River1–3L
7 Oct@ Cerrito2–2D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Juventud – last 6

DLWDLW
11 Nov@ Liverpool Montevideo1–1D
3 Nov@ Liverpool Montevideo0–2L
28 Oct@ Nacional Florida2–0W
24 Octvs Penarol0–0D
17 Oct@ Progreso0–2L
11 Octvs Racing Montevideo2–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Juventud v Wanderers2–5
Wanderers vs Juventud head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wanderers vs Juventud?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Wanderers vs Juventud?

On our numbers Wanderers have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Juventud 32%.

How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Juventud?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Juventud?

Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Wanderers vs Juventud?

Wanderers vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.