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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Liverpool Montevideo v Juventud: numbers & prediction

Copa Uruguay · Uruguay · Estadio Belvedere
1–1
FTPens 0–3
Liverpool Montevideo 47%Draw 21%Juventud 32% Expected goals 1.24 – 0.95
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.26

Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Wednesday 11 November: Liverpool Montevideo v Juventud in the Copa Uruguay, played at Estadio Belvedere.

Current form

Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gladiador, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Juventud, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Liverpool Montevideo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Liverpool Montevideo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Juventud.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Nov 2026) it ended Liverpool Montevideo 2–0 Juventud.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool Montevideo 1.2 xG, Juventud 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool Montevideo 47%, draw 21%, Juventud 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Juventud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Liverpool Montevideo47%fair 2.15 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Juventud32%fair 3.13 · @3.10
2.18Expected goals
1.24Liverpool Montevideo xG
0.95Juventud xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.2 – 0.9 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✗47%2.152.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.00
Draw no betLiverpool Montevideo (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapJuventud +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.501.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.10
First team to scoreLiverpool Montevideo to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.26–

Recent results

Liverpool Montevideo – last 6

WWWWWD
5 Nov@ Gladiador2–0W
3 Novvs Juventud2–0W
25 Oct@ Club Nacional1–0W
21 Octvs Cerro Largo1–0W
18 Octvs Penarol1–0W
10 Oct@ Deportivo Maldonado1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Juventud – last 6

LWDLWW
3 Nov@ Liverpool Montevideo0–2L
28 Oct@ Nacional Florida2–0W
24 Octvs Penarol0–0D
17 Oct@ Progreso0–2L
11 Octvs Racing Montevideo2–0W
8 Oct@ Plaza Colonia1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Nov 2026Liverpool Montevideo v Juventud2–0
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Juventud 32%.

How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.