Envigado vs Union Magdalena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:50 WAT, Sunday 15 November: Envigado v Union Magdalena in the Primera B, played at Estadio Polideportivo Sur. In the table, Envigado are 1st, leading the league, on 7 points after 4 matches; Union Magdalena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Envigado, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Popayan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Union Magdalena, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ind. Yumbo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Sep 2026) it ended Envigado 0–1 Union Magdalena. The last 2 head-to-heads: Envigado 0 wins, Union Magdalena 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Envigado 1.2 xG, Union Magdalena 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Envigado 42%, draw 30%, Union Magdalena 28%.
Lower-risk option: Envigado or draw (72%) at 1.21.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Envigado or draw (72%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Envigado 1–0 Union Magdalena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Envigado42%fair 2.38 · @2.18
Draw30%fair 3.33 · @2.71
Union Magdalena28%fair 3.59 · @3.44
2.17Expected goals
1.25Envigado xG
0.92Union Magdalena xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Envigado 1.2 – 0.9 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Envigado
Union Magdalena
Attack vs Primera B average
+14%
+9%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.20
0.83
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Envigado vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Envigado or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Envigado vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Envigado have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Union Magdalena 28%.
How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Envigado 1–0 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Envigado vs Union Magdalena?
Envigado vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 21:50 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.