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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Envigado v Union Magdalena: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Sun 15 Nov 2026
Envigado 42%Draw 30%Union Magdalena 28% Expected goals 1.25 – 0.92
72%
Betarazi pick

Envigado or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.21

7/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultEnvigado to win42% · @2.18
Double chanceEnvigado or draw72% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.20

Envigado vs Union Magdalena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:50 WAT, Sunday 15 November: Envigado v Union Magdalena in the Primera B, played at Estadio Polideportivo Sur. In the table, Envigado are 1st, leading the league, on 7 points after 4 matches; Union Magdalena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Envigado, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Popayan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Union Magdalena, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ind. Yumbo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Sep 2026) it ended Envigado 0–1 Union Magdalena. The last 2 head-to-heads: Envigado 0 wins, Union Magdalena 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Envigado 1.2 xG, Union Magdalena 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Envigado 42%, draw 30%, Union Magdalena 28%.
  • Lower-risk option: Envigado or draw (72%) at 1.21.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Envigado or draw (72%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Envigado 1–0 Union Magdalena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Envigado42%fair 2.38 · @2.18
Draw30%fair 3.33 · @2.71
Union Magdalena28%fair 3.59 · @3.44
2.17Expected goals
1.25Envigado xG
0.92Union Magdalena xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Envigado 1.2 – 0.9 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

EnvigadoUnion Magdalena
Attack vs Primera B average+14%+9%
Goals conceded vs average-21%-9%
Our expected goals here1.200.83

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEnvigado to win42%2.382.18
Double chanceEnvigado or draw72%1.391.21
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.961.95
Draw no betEnvigado (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapUnion Magdalena +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals64%1.561.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals62%1.631.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals80%1.251.16
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.101.02
First team to scoreEnvigado to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Envigado / FT Envigado25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.20–

Recent results

Envigado – last 6

WLWWWD
10 Novvs Popayan2–0W
6 Nov@ Popayan0–1L
29 Octvs Ind. Yumbo2–0W
24 Oct@ Patriotas2–0W
20 Octvs Barranquilla1–0W
15 Octvs Real Santander1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Union Magdalena – last 6

DDWWDD
6 Novvs Ind. Yumbo1–1D
29 Oct@ Popayan1–1D
24 Octvs Depor FC1–0W
19 Oct@ Internacional Palmira1–0W
15 Octvs Ind. Yumbo1–1D
11 Octvs Leones FC2–2D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Sep 2026Envigado v Union Magdalena0–1
9 Apr 2026Union Magdalena v Envigado4–2
Envigado vs Union Magdalena head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Quindio4021109+1473
2Envigado4219149+2171
3Real Cartagena42171510+1766
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC40131413+553
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca34101311+143
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Envigado vs Union Magdalena?

Our pick is Envigado or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Envigado vs Union Magdalena?

On our numbers Envigado have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Union Magdalena 28%.

How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Union Magdalena?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Union Magdalena?

Our predicted score is Envigado 1–0 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Envigado vs Union Magdalena?

Envigado vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 21:50 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.